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Oil Market Slides Amid Supply Surplus Concerns

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) foresees Nigeriaโ€™s economy closing the current year in positive growth up to 4 per cent.

This was disclosed by the president of the chamber, Mr Gabriel Idahosa, at the organisationโ€™s Annual General Meeting (AGM) on Thursday in Lagos.

The LCCI forecast builds up on recent gross domestic product (GDP) released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) which points out that Nigeriaโ€™s economy grew 3.46 per cent in the third quarter of 2024.

The body said achieving faster recovery requires the fiscal and monetary sides of the economy to promote policies that would encourage private capital flows to the economy.

According to him, fiscal and monetary authorities need to develop a medium-term growth plan anchored on boosting local production, supporting ease of doing business and attracting private investment.

Mr Idahosa said the plan should also focus on developing infrastructure, business-friendly regulatory policies, economic diversification, and employment generation.

โ€œNigeria is presently confronted with a myriad of challenges including sustained double-digit inflation, a steadily rising debt profile, revenue mobilisation challenges and others.

โ€œWe have advocated for a well-coordinated synergy between the fiscal and monetary authorities in engagement with the private sector to navigate the uncertain economic terrain.

โ€œWe will continue to engage with government in creating an enabling business environment where the private sector is empowered to grow, create jobs and generate revenue for the government,โ€ he said.

Addressing some economic indices, the LCCI president noted that the private sector was currently plagued with increased borrowing costs and a pressured foreign exchange market.

He said recent hikes in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) had directly translated to higher interest rates, making it more expensive for businesses to access credit for working capital, expansion, and sustainability.

He said that rate hikes alone would not curb inflation without resolving the challenges of the real sector of the economy.

Mr Idahosa added that the country needed to diversify its exports by boosting local crude refining capacity production of petrochemical products and accelerating reforms in the and gas sector.

โ€œThe chamber looks forward to the sustained implementation of naira payments for crude oil sales to the Dangote refinery and other local refineries, which started on October 1, 2024.

โ€œWe urge the government to summon the courage to be consistent with the oil and gas sector reforms and implement the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) fully.

โ€œWe see the long-term gains of these reforms if they are implemented under a conducive regulatory environment,โ€ he said.

Speaking on the projected N47.9 trillion 2025 budget presented recently by President Bola Tinubu, Mr Idahosa said the key parameters and assumptions on which the budget was proposed were too optimistic in the face of some economic and social indicators.

On her part, Mrs Chinyere Almona, Director General, LCCI, urged government to create an enabling environment for businesses to thrive to enhance their productivity and contribute more meaningfully to the economy.

She noted that while the year was filled with very difficult reforms, businesses should stay the course on these reforms and things would improve.

Mrs Almona urged businesses to think of alternatives to improve efficiency, attract finance and be more productive, while hoping for the next year to be better.

She also called on authorities to focus on non-oil exports to attract more foreign exchange.

โ€œWhen we talk of exports, we are not just talking of exporting raw materials but processing materials to command top dollar in the export market.

โ€œAt the chamber, we are looking for ways to improve our export and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) groups to improve their capacity and productivity to export more, โ€ she said.